India’s acting Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee presented on Monday interim spending plans for the 2009/10 fiscal year from April to July, a stopgap measure to take care of essential spending during and in the immediate aftermath of general elections. Polls are due by May.
Following are highlights from the budget. The entire text can be seen at indiabudget.nic.in. and finmin.nic.in
MAIN POINTS:
- 2008/09 fiscal deficit seen at 6 percent of GDP, higher than initial plan of 2.5 pct.
- Fiscal deficit seen at 5.5 pct of GDP in 2009/10.
- Mukherjee says fiscal deficit situation is worrying.
- Plan spending for 2009/10 may have to be increased substantially after elections.
- There may be a need for additional measures in the post-poll budget.
- There is a clear need for counter-cyclical policies.
- There is a need to accelerate policy reforms, including in the financial sector.
- Mukherjee says tax rates must fall in times of stress.
- GDP growth seen at 7.1 pct in 08/09. Government assumes real GDP growth of 7 percent in 09/10, 8 percent in 2010/11 and 9 percent in 2011/12.
2009/10 FORECAST:
- Revenue deficit seen at 4 pct of GDP in 2009/10. Government hopes to wipe out revenue deficit by 2010/11.
- Total plan spending in 2009/10 seen at 9.53 trillion rupees.
- Additional plan expenditure has to increase by 0.5-1 percent post-poll.
- 2009/10 gross budgetary support 2.85 trillion rupees.
- Gross market borrowing seen at 3.62 trillion rupees in 2009/10.
- Net market borrowing for 09/10 seen at 3.09 trillion rupees.
- Government expects to raise 11.2 bilion rupees from stake sales in 09/10.
- 2009/10 profits, dividends from state-run companies seen at 369.85 billion rupees.
- Major subsidy spending for 09/10 at 955 billion rupees.
- Need to go back to fiscal targets once economy is revived.
TAX/EXCISE/DUTIES:
- Substantial relief of about 400 billion rupees due to tax cuts in 2008/09.
- New technology has enhanced tax compliance.
- Total tax receipts seen at 6.71 trillion rupees in 09/10.
- Corporate tax receipts estimated at 2.44 trillion rupees in 09/10.
- Income tax receipts seen at 1.35 trillion rupees in 09/10.
- Excise receipts in 09/10 seen at 1.11 trillion rupees.
- Custom duty receipts estimated at 1.10 trillion rupees in 09/10.
- Government assumes tax-to-GDP ratio at 11.1 percent in 09/10, while sees the same at 14.4 percent in 2010/11 and 15 percent in 2011/12.
- Export interest subsidy extended for some sectors.
DEFENCE:
- Defence spending for 2009/10 at 1.42 trillion rupees.
2008/09 DATA:
- 2008/09 to end with revenue deficit of 4.4 percent of GDP.
- 2008/09 revised estimate of spending 9.9 trillion rupees.
- 2008/09 revised estimate of extra non-plan spending 1.1 trillion rupees.
- 2008/09 revised estimate of tax collection 6.28 trillion rupees.
- Apr-Nov FDI registered at $23.3 billion.
FARM:
- 2008/09 farm outlook is encouraging.
- Government to provide interest subsidy to farmers in 09/10.
- Farm loan waiver has so far cost 653 billion rupees.
SOCIAL SECTORS:
- Social security nets need to be strengthened.
- Rural job schemes to get 301 billion rupees in 2009/10.
- Rural health spending 120.7 billion rupees.
- Midday meals scheme for schools to cost 80 billion rupees.
- Urban renewal spending in 2009/10 at 118.4 billion rupees.
- Rural sanitation spending seen at 12 billion rupees for next financial year. ($1=49 rupees)
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